Analysis: With Cheney’s impending ouster, the GOP chooses Trump over principle

At first, many Republicans said Cheney had the right to speak her mind and criticize Trump for his role in the insurrection as they danced around his damaging and inaccurate statements that the election of President Joe Biden was rigged. Now their worries about appealing to his base in the upcoming elections seems to have convinced them that there is no room for disagreement with the former President and that having a vocal Trump critic on their leadership team is too much of a liability.
That may be true when facing the most conservative voters who dominate the Republican primaries given that a March CNN poll showed that about 67% of Republicans said they believed Trump had a good effect on the party. But House Republicans appear to be taking a harder line than most Republicans about the need for unquestioning loyalty to Trump. More than three-quarters (76%) of Republicans or Republican-leaning independents said the party should not penalize members who expressed opposition to him.
On Sunday, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy — who flew to Mar-a-Lago in January to shore up his relationship with the former President despite his initial misgivings about Trump’s role in the riot on January 6 — confirmed that he supports Stefanik’s ascension to GOP conference chair.

“Everyone in leadership serves at the pleasure of the conference and as you know, there’s a lot at stake. Democrats are destroying the nation,” McCarthy told Fox News’s Maria Bartiromo. “That’s why we will have a vote next week and we want to be united.”

Though Trump endeared himself to 74 million voters by convincing them that he spoke his mind regardless of the consequences, Stefanik and other Trump allies seem to think that the safest political bet is to just fall in line with the former President’s misinformation campaign. The New York Republican, who promoted some of Trump’s lies about the 2020 election and objected to the Electoral College vote in Pennsylvania, argued in an interview with Breitbart News radio on Saturday that it is the role of the GOP conference chair to set aside her own views.

While holding that No. 3 position, Stefanik said, Cheney has failed in her duty to “speak with a unified voice for the majority of Republican members.”

“When you are the conference chair and communicating and in charge of the message of the party in the House, you have to represent a majority of the members and the majority of the voters across this country,” Stefanik said. “There has been significant frustration among the members of the Republican conference that she is no longer doing that, and we hear that frustration at home among voters,” she said, arguing that unified message will be “really important going into 2022 to have the best chance to win back the majority.”

The conference chair position is “not an opportunity to share your personal views — whatever they may be,” Stefanik added. “You speak for the team,” she said. “I would also make sure we’re not attacking our fellow members and attacking President Trump and Trump supporters.”

As the internecine struggle played out last week, some GOP leaders were blunt about their view that the party must stand by the former President as a matter of political survival — no matter how he is perceived by the broader public — an unpredictable facet of the current political environment that will be tested in swing districts in 2022.

South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham — who warned after Trump’s February speech to the Conservative Political Action Conference that the former President has the ability to expand the Republican party or “destroy it” — outlined the Republican Party’s current calculus in clear terms when he was asked about Cheney.

“I just say to my Republican colleagues — can we move forward without President Trump? The answer is no,” Graham said in an interview with Fox News Thursday. “I’ve always liked Liz Cheney, but she’s made a determination that the Republican Party can’t grow with President Trump. I’ve determined we can’t grow without him.”

But a few Republicans, mostly outside of Washington, have warned against the intolerance within the party toward members with divergent views about the former President.

“As we talk about broadening the tent and bringing in a new generation of Republicans, we really have to allow for those types of differences,” Utah Republican Gov. Spencer Cox told CNN’s Jake Tapper Sunday on “State of the Union.” He noted that while Utah Sen. Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican presidential nominee who voted to convict Trump in the impeachment trials of 2020 and 2021, was booed at the recent Utah Republican Convention, the Utah Republican senator also narrowly avoided censure by the same group of state delegates.

“The resolution to censure him actually failed. And that was with, again, a small number of delegates — theoretically, the most passionate and maybe extreme number of delegates,” Cox said. “But the truth is that we believe here in Utah that there is room in the party for both Sen. Mitt Romney and Sen. Mike Lee. And they’re working together on some really important legislation. And I hope there’s room in the party for all of those voices.”

Louisiana Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy, who joined Romney in the vote to convict Trump in the second impeachment trial, said Sunday that there must be room in the party for those who take issue with Trump’s statements and those who want to work with him to help build the party.

“For us to win in 2022 and 2024 we need everybody,” Cassidy said on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” “We need those who feel as Liz (Cheney), we need those who feel as Lindsey (Graham). Ultimately it’s about the polices, you see that Cheney, Cassidy support those policies. Those policies are a ticket to victory.”

No room for independence

Independent thought, and even dissension, have been tolerated during other phases of Republican Party history. But the leaders who have reaped the greatest rewards since 2016 have fallen in lockstep with Trump — and Stefanik’s sudden ascent is a case in point.

As CNN’s KFile chronicled last week, the New York congresswoman became one of Trump’s most visible defenders in Congress as part of his 2020 impeachment defense after making a different gamble during the 2016 election when she often criticized Trump’s rhetoric and told voters that she would be an “independent voice.”
On the flip side, Cheney, along with Romney and other members who stood up to the former President’s election lies are facing considerable heat at home.
Romney, who was booed while reminding his audience that he had promised to be independent from Trump, defended Cheney in a tweet last week: “Every person of conscience draws a line beyond which they will not go: Liz Cheney refuses to lie.”
Republicans continue their nationwide campaign to restrict voting

“As one of my Republican Senate colleagues said to me following my impeachment vote: ‘I wouldn’t want to be a member of a group that punished someone for following their conscience,'” Romney added.

But at least in Congress, the wing of the Republican Party willing to do just that appears to be growing.

The premise of Cheney’s argument — in what seems like an intentional bid to go down fighting in the hopes of helping resurrect the Republican Party later, possibly as a candidate for the White House — is that “while embracing or ignoring Trump’s statements” might help the party raise money or position itself politically now, “that approach will do profound long-term damage to our party and our country,” she wrote in a Washington Post op-ed.
The Washington Post reported Saturday that Cheney grew increasingly unsettled this spring after noticing that National Republican Congressional Committee staff omitted a key finding about the Trump’s weaknesses in battleground districts during a polling briefing at an April Republican retreat.

In Cheney’s view, the omission of that information about Trump’s vulnerabilities demonstrated the depths of denial within the party about the threat he poses, according to the Post reporting.

The 2022 midterms will test which side of the GOP is right on that question. But as the party continues to purge and punish the few members willing to contradict Trump, they aren’t showing voters much about what they stand for, other than blind loyalty to a President who lost.

This story has been updated with additional details Sunday.


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